StockNews falsifiable investment trees All tickers Manual

Archetype risk map

Each ticker is sorted into one of six investment archetypes. The tile per category shows health (avg H-0/XII/durability + %Grade-C), risk (fatal flags), freshness (oldest review), concentration (dominant cycle), and outliers (best/weakest/most-stale thesis).

Compounder under review

16 tickers
Health65% H-085% XII21 avg durability31% Grade C
Risk○ 0 fatal flags
FreshnessCOST 62d
ConcentrationUncorrelated 38%
Outliersbest thesis ISRG H-0 72% weakest thesis AMZN H-0 50% most stale COST H-0 60%

Incumbent under threat

9 tickers
Health62% H-075% XII20 avg durability0% Grade C
Risk○ 0 fatal flags
FreshnessNVDA overdue 25d
ConcentrationAI-capex high 44%
Outliersbest thesis GOOGL H-0 90% weakest thesis PATH H-0 48% most stale GOOGL H-0 90%

Pre-inflection / optionality

10 tickers
Health60% H-069% XII18 avg durability0% Grade C
Risk⚑ 1 fatal flags
FreshnessHOOD overdue 25d
ConcentrationAI-capex mid 20%
Outliersbest thesis AJNMY H-0 82% weakest thesis SPACEX H-0 48% most stale AAPL H-0 65%

Value with overhang

3 tickers
Health62% H-083% XII19 avg durability0% Grade C
Risk⚑ 1 fatal flags
FreshnessTCEHY overdue 4d
ConcentrationAI-capex high 33%
Outliersbest thesis TCEHY H-0 66% weakest thesis SFTBY H-0 60% most stale F H-0 60%

Cyclical / macro-sensitive

7 tickers
Health61% H-075% XII18 avg durability29% Grade C
Risk○ 0 fatal flags
FreshnessCAT 58d
ConcentrationUncorrelated 43%
Outliersbest thesis RESONAC H-0 68% weakest thesis NOK H-0 45% most stale CAT H-0 62%

Speculative / fragile thesis

3 tickers
Health40% H-040% XII11 avg durability0% Grade C
Risk⚑ 6 fatal flags
FreshnessSIVE 26d
ConcentrationAI-capex high 67%
Outliersbest thesis PLTR H-0 63% weakest thesis SIVE H-0 28% most stale SIVE H-0 28%

No tickers match. Try a broader keyword or clear the search.

Compounder under review

AMZN Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-03

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) — Investment Tree v1

Three platform conglomerate with AWS reaccelerating and AI capex FCF compression·SOTP attribution blindness on advertising platform and trainium optionality

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 6 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 50%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 78%Durability 19/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $270.64Sources 18 5/2/11 ⚠
English 中文
ORCL Screening memo Due in 6d Updated 2026-07-03

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — Investment Tree v1

Enterprise database incumbent pivoting to AI cloud growth engine·AI cloud backlog rerating priced in with leverage FCF risk

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 6 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 60%Prob 254530↓25/45/30
XII 72%Durability 19/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $140.27Sources 25 2/6/0
English 中文
NOW Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-08

ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) — Investment Tree v1

Best in class workflow compounder de rated on agentic AI fear·AI disruption fear overcorrection vs beneficiary evidence

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 64%Prob 305020↑30/50/20
XII 95%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex lowPrice $112.45Sources 14 7/7/0
⚠ Score conflict
English 中文
ASML Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) — Investment Tree v1

EUV monopoly with AI capex supercycle and china overhang·Cyclical capital equipment lens vs structural monopoly lens

Verdicts 13 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 68%Prob 305020↑30/50/20
XII 93%Durability 23/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $1,612.76Sources 34 15/2/0
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
AVGO Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — Investment Tree v1

Custom AI silicon with vmware cash engine and hyperscaler asic tam expansion·AI silicon rerating largely complete now fully valued

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 12 ✅ · 2 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 72%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 87%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $446.77Sources 26 1/8/0
⚠ High conv / Grade C⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
DIS Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) — Investment Tree v1

Media conglomerate undergoing forced segment re segmentation with streaming profitability pivot·Per segment headline week interpretation misses integrated resegmentation

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 2 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 64%Prob 255520↑25/55/20
XII 70%Durability 18/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $101.83Sources 16 0/4/0
English 中文
ISRG Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) — Investment Tree v1

Da vinci installed base monopoly with AI surgical analytics and single port expansion·Recurring revenue compounder lens underpriced vs system sales lens

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 72%Prob 305515↑30/55/15
XII 93%Durability 23/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $424.64Sources 21 0/3/0
⚠ High conv / Grade C⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
LLY Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — Investment Tree v1

Glp 1 cash compounder with AI drug discovery option and ira overhang·Time horizon discount on fy2028 fy2035 cash flows under ira and biosimilar tail

Verdicts 10 ✅ · 9 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 67%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 81%Durability 20/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $1105Sources 27 5/2/0
English 中文
MSFT Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — Investment Tree v1

Dominant platform compounder with AI thesis confirming at full multiple·Blended multiple obscuring three distinct platform businesses

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 63%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 90%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $450.24Sources 19 7/3/9 ⚠
⚠ Score conflict⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
V Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Visa Inc. (V) — Investment Tree v1

Payments network monopoly with vas second curve under stablecoin and agentic AI threat·Interpretation gap on stablecoin and agentic AI displacement timing

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 11 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 255520↑25/55/20
XII 91%Durability 21/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $326.36Sources 27 5/2/0
⚠ Score conflict⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
VEEV Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Veeva Systems Inc. (VEEV) — Investment Tree v1

Vertical cloud SaaS for pharma with salesforce to vault migration overhang·Back loaded vault crm migration de risk not priced

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 71%Prob 255520↑25/55/20
XII 91%Durability 22/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $174.34Sources 20 0/4/0
⚠ High conv / Grade C⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
WMT Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Walmart Inc (WMT) — Investment Tree v1

Retail incumbent pivoting to platform with advertising second curve and AI cost out·Orphan asset value inside blended retail multiple

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 11 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 65%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 92%Durability 21/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $115.75Sources 26 7/2/0
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
AMD Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-29

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) — Investment Tree v1

Confirmed three platform compounder priced for perfection·Re rating complete priced above fair value

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 2 ⚠️ · 4 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 254530↓25/45/30
XII 77%Durability 22/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $516.10Sources 23 7/13/3
English 中文
TSM Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-17

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) — Investment Tree v1

Process node monopoly with geopolitical discount partially compressed·Cognitive bias geopolitical discount now partially priced

Verdicts 10 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 72%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 86%Durability 24/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $410Sources 21 21/0/0
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
META Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-11

Meta Platforms (META) — Investment Tree v1

Family of apps cash machine with AR and AI options under regulatory shadow·Bimodal distribution mispricing

Verdicts 3 ✅ · 12 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 174241↓17/42/41
XII 76%Durability 20/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $614.23Sources 17 17/0/0
⚠ Bear-tilted moat
English 中文
COST Grade B Fresh Updated 2026-05-03

Costco Wholesale (COST) — Investment Tree v1

High-quality compounder at full price·Asymmetric upside vs downside (unfavorable)

Verdicts 13 ✅ · 11 ⚠️ · 4 ✗ · 7 ⊗H-0 60%Prob 185230↓18/52/30
XII 91%Durability 23/25Price $1,014.53Sources 6 5/1/0
⚠ Score conflict⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文

Incumbent under threat

BABA Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-04

Alibaba Group (BABA) — Investment Tree v1

Cloud rerating confirmed under pentagon 1260h designation tail·Regulatory and pentagon designation overhang vs confirmed cloud SOTP

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 52%Prob 204535↓20/45/35
XII 69%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $96.14Sources 31 13/6/12 ⚠
⚠ Bear-tilted moat
English 中文
BYD Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-03

BYD Company Limited (1211.HK / 002594.SZ) — Investment Tree v1

Chinese EV platform with SOTP battery option under tariff and software siege·SOTP blindness on multi subsidiary platform misclassified as pure EV OEM

Verdicts 4 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 64%Durability 21/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice HK$82†Sources 11 1/5/5 ⚠
English 中文
CRWD Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-22

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) — Investment Tree v1

Endpoint incumbent pivoting to AI security control plane·Option value structural blindness no model field

Verdicts 5 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 48%Prob 305020↑30/50/20
XII 81%Durability 20/25Cycle AI-capex lowPrice $685†Sources 13 0/11/2 ⚠
English 中文
DELL Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-18

Dell Technologies (DELL) — Investment Tree v1

Enterprise AI platform compounder in disclosure triggered identity switch·Structural blindness lifecycle stage classification error

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 48%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 73%Durability 17/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $430.00Sources 12 0/9/3 ⚠
English 中文
ANET Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-15

Arista Networks (ANET) — Investment Tree v1

Networking os platform mid transition from hardware cycle vendor·Structural blindness lifecycle stage classification error

Verdicts 10 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 74%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $163.24Sources 13 0/9/4 ⚠
English 中文
MU Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-11

Micron Technology (MU) — Investment Tree v1

Commodity memory cyclical becoming AI infrastructure compounder·Cognitive bias lifecycle stage classification error

Verdicts 12 ✅ · 3 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 65%Prob 305020↑30/50/20
XII 87%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $919.53Sources 12 0/11/1
English 中文
NVDA Grade A Overdue 25d Updated 2026-06-02

NVIDIA (NVDA) — Investment Tree v1

Dominant incumbent under forced dual transition·Capital-intensity misunderstanding

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 82%Prob 285220↑28/52/20
XII 86%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $224.36Sources 18 5/9/4 ⚠
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
PATH Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

UiPath (PATH) — Investment Tree v1

Disrupted incumbent pivoting to agentic orchestration infrastructure·AI victim bias suppressing orchestration infrastructure rerating

Verdicts 4 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 4 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 48%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 54%Durability 17/25Cycle AI-capex lowPrice $11.72Sources 13 10/1/1
English 中文
GOOGL Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-20

Alphabet (GOOGL) — Investment Tree v1

Dominant incumbent under forced dual transition·AI overhang overcorrection

Verdicts 13 ✅ · 2 ⚠️H-0 90%Prob 305515↑30/55/15
XII 90%Durability 20/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $355Sources 12 7/4/1
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文

Pre-inflection / optionality

RVMD Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-03

Revolution Medicines (RVMD) — Investment Tree v1

De risked single asset ras platform at commercial inflection·Lead asset derisking fully priced platform right tail uncertain

Verdicts 6 ✅ · 10 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 55%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 64%Durability 15/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $157.99Sources 10 4/5/1
English 中文
SPACEX Grade B Due in 6d Updated 2026-07-03

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPACEX) — Investment Tree v1

Leo broadband monopoly with launch rump and AI bandwidth optionality·SOTP blindness on three segment stack

Verdicts 3 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 2 ⊗H-0 48%Prob 185230↓18/52/30
XII 52%Durability 17/25Price $135.00Sources 23 3/13/7
English 中文
TSLA Grade B Due in 6d Updated 2026-07-03

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) — Investment Tree v1

Pre inflection optionality with eroding auto core·Time lag and founder narrative premium

Verdicts 4 ✅ · 4 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 5 ⊗H-0 51%Prob 323533↔32/35/33
XII 52%Durability 17/25Price $391Sources 21 21/0/0
English 中文
NET Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-29

Cloudflare, Inc. (NET) — Investment Tree v1

Developer infrastructure platform reassigning from cloud security·Cognitive bias category anchor security identity

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 4 ⊗H-0 55%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 69%Durability 22/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $237.24Sources 12 0/12/0 ⚠
English 中文
AJNMY Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-26

Ajinomoto (AJNMY) — Investment Tree v1

AI infrastructure monopoly with food cash engine·Structural blindness on segment reporting

Verdicts 10 ✅ · 3 ⚠️ · 0 ✗H-0 82%Prob 355015↑35/50/15
XII 92%Durability 23/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $38.68Sources 48 27/17/4
English 中文
SNOW Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-25

Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) — Investment Tree v1

Consumption platform at lifecycle inflection·Cognitive bias NRR anchoring and lifecycle stage blindness

Verdicts 5 ✅ · 10 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 55%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 70%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $168Sources 10 0/1/9 ⚠
English 中文
ANTHROPIC Grade B Overdue 18d Updated 2026-06-02

Anthropic PBC (pre-IPO) — Investment Tree v1 ⚑

Frontier llm credible second with coi discount·Narrative driven overvaluation with analyst reliability discount

⚑ Fatal: Type E methodological flag — CoI haircut (Claude analyzing Anthropic); WAIT for external analyst regardless of substantive evidence

Verdicts 0 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · 5 ⊗H-0 52%Prob 254530↓25/45/30
XII 52%Durability 17/25Price $965BSources 22 6/9/7
English 中文
HOOD Grade B Overdue 25d Updated 2026-06-02

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) — Investment Tree v1

Identity-switch candidate·Identity misclassification — broker vs railroad

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 6 ⚠️ · 0 ✗H-0 74%Prob 354718↑35/47/18
XII 88%Durability 18/25Price $94.30Sources 12 7/4/1
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
OPENAI Grade B Fresh Updated 2026-05-15

OpenAI Group PBC (OPENAI) — Investment Tree v1

AI utility or compute trap with foundation warrant overhang·Governance discount overweight

Verdicts 4 ✅ · 10 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 4 ⊗H-0 58%Prob 225028↓22/50/28
XII 67%Durability 16/25Price $1,000.00Sources 21 0/17/4
English 中文
AAPL Grade B Overdue 19d Updated 2026-05-04

Apple Inc. (AAPL) — Investment Tree v1

Platform services transition from hardware incumbent·SOTP blindness on services vs hardware

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 65%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 85%Durability 19/25Price $280Sources 11 8/2/1 ⚠
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文

Value with overhang

SFTBY Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-03

SoftBank Group Corp. (SFTBY) — Investment Tree v1

Holding company at nav discount with arm ip compounding and AI orchestration option·Anchoring bias vision fund framing

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 60%Prob 254530↓25/45/30
XII 79%Durability 21/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $17.71Sources 13 (unscored)
English 中文
TCEHY Grade A Overdue 4d Updated 2026-06-02

Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) — Investment Tree v1

Dominant super app compounder cheap on SOTP with geopolitical overhang·SOTP operating company obscured by portfolio plus geopolitical discount

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 2 ⚠️ · 1 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 66%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 89%Durability 20/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $54.60Sources 25 0/11/14 ⚠
⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文
F Grade B Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Ford Motor Company (F) — Investment Tree v1 ⚑

Incumbent mid-strategic-reset·Yield-substitute pricing ignores fundamental improvement

⚑ Fatal: Q3 10-year capital allocation — ROIC < WACC chronically; serial value destroyer per K.3.1 canonical

Verdicts 6 ✅ · 10 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 5 ⊗H-0 60%Prob 205030↓20/50/30
XII 81%Durability 17/25Price $17.44Sources 19 13/6/0
⚠ Flag + high score
English 中文

Cyclical / macro-sensitive

JPM Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-07-02

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) — Investment Tree v1

Money center bank fortress balance sheet with cyclical peak earnings and succession reshuffle·Cognitive bias lifecycle stage classification error

Verdicts 1 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 11 ⊗H-0 58%Prob 225325↔22/53/25
XII 91%Durability 21/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $333.79Sources 11 0/11/0
⚠ Score conflict
English 中文
TOTDY Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-08

TOTO (TOTDY) — Investment Tree v1

Rerating played out now fully valued·Momentum-source mispricing vs cycle decay

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 7 ⚠️ · 0 ✗H-0 62%Prob 185230↓18/52/30
XII 72%Durability 20/25Cycle AI-capex midPrice $49.30Sources 46 25/21/0
⚠ Bear-tilted moat
English 中文
COIN Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) — Investment Tree v1

Crypto cycle platform with subscription services compounder and regulatory option·Transaction revenue cyclicality lens underprices s and s compounder

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 5 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 67%Prob 254530↓25/45/30
XII 68%Durability 16/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $189.03Sources 23 0/5/0
English 中文
MP Screening memo Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

MP Materials Corp (MP) — Investment Tree v1

Rare earth strategic asset rerated on dod backstop now richly valued·Dod backstop rerating largely priced in

Screening memo, not investment memo — Tier-C evidence throughout; pull primary sources before sizing.

Verdicts 7 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 304525↑30/45/25
XII 62%Durability 14/25Cycle UncorrelatedPrice $64.70Sources 25 2/6/0
English 中文
NOK Grade B Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Nokia Oyj (NOK) — Investment Tree v1

AI networking pivot confirmed but fully rerated above fair value·Rerating overshot cheap mispricing now closed

Verdicts 6 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 1 ✗ · 0 ⊗H-0 45%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 70%Durability 17/25Price $14.84Sources 16 3/8/5
English 中文
RESONAC Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-05-30

Resonac Holdings (4004.T) — Investment Tree v1

AI back end materials leader confirmed but fully valued post rerating·AI materials rerating largely priced in

Verdicts 6 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗H-0 68%Prob 255025↔25/50/25
XII 73%Durability 19/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $113.68Sources 8 6/2/0
English 中文
CAT Grade B Fresh Updated 2026-05-07

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — Investment Tree v1

Cyclical incumbent with data center power optionality·Identity persistence blocking AI adjacency reframing

Verdicts 9 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · 1 ⊗H-0 62%Prob 285220↑28/52/20
XII 87%Durability 21/25Price $917.64Sources 12 5/6/1
⚠ Score conflict⚠ Stale conviction
English 中文

Speculative / fragile thesis

PLTR Grade B Due in 6d Updated 2026-07-03

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — Investment Tree v1

Platform vs substitute under co-opetition·Narrative overhang × political overlay

Verdicts 5 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 2 ✗H-0 63%Prob 404020↑40/40/20
XII 77%Durability 17/25Price $125.73Sources 27 13/13/1
English 中文
SIVE Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-08

Sivers Semiconductors AB (SIVE) — Investment Tree v1 ⚑

Pipeline promise photonics cash burner on AI attached retail pump·AI attached small cap hype overvaluation

⚑ Fatal: Q3 capital allocation — never FCF-positive, serial diluter funding losses by recurring equity issuance; dev-cost impairments +2

Verdicts 1 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 8 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 28%Prob 155035↓15/50/35
XII 22%Durability 8/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $7.77Sources 18 1/13/4
English 中文
SIVEF Grade A Fresh Updated 2026-06-08

Sivers Semiconductors AB (SIVEF) — US OTC Line · Investment Tree v1 ⚑

Pipeline promise photonics cash burner on AI attached retail pump·AI attached small cap hype overvaluation

⚑ Fatal: Q3 capital allocation — never FCF-positive, serial diluter funding losses by recurring equity issuance; dev-cost impairments +2

Verdicts 1 ✅ · 8 ⚠️ · 8 ✗ · 3 ⊗H-0 28%Prob 155035↓15/50/35
XII 22%Durability 8/25Cycle AI-capex highPrice $7.77
English 中文