Investment Tree Essays

Each essay decomposes a single ticker into a falsifiable Mauboussin-style investment tree: five L1 branches, fifteen leaves, verdict tally, implied-probability distribution. Sources and evidence are cataloged per-ticker in the companion repo.

COST Updated 2026-05-02

Costco Wholesale (COST) — Investment Tree v1

Verdicts 13 ✅ · 11 ⚠️ · 4 ✗ · 7 ⊗ · Prob 18/52/30 · Price $1,014.53

English 中文

F Updated 2026-05-02

Ford Motor Company (F) — Investment Tree v1

Verdicts 8 ✅ · 15 ⚠️ · 5 ✗ · 8 ⊗ · Prob 25/50/25 · Price $11.89

English 中文

GOOGL Updated 2026-05-02

Alphabet (GOOGL) — We Draw Tree

Verdicts 11 ✅ · 4 ⚠️ · H-0 82% · Prob 22/58/20 · Price $341.68

English 中文

HOOD Updated 2026-05-02

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) — We Draw Trees

Price $91.28

English 中文

NVDA Updated 2026-05-02

NVDA — Investment Tree v1

Prob 25/50/25 · Price $1.65

English 中文

PLTR Updated 2026-05-02

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — We Draw Tree

Verdicts 4 ✅ · 9 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · Prob 35/45/20 · Price $128.06

English 中文