Investment Tree Essays
StockNews is a personal research notebook for long-term equity decisions. Each entry below is one investment "tree" built from public sources — 10-Ks, earnings calls, regulatory filings, trade press — and refreshed when material events fire.
Drawing a tree means stating one falsifiable thesis at the trunk (what the market is mispricing), then forcing it through five branches that each ask a different way it could be wrong: profit pool, valuation, S-curve position, strategic threats, and optionality. Each branch carries roughly three leaves of evidence, marked ✅ supported · ⚠️ partial · ✗ falsified against a specific source. The tree gives you the structured reasoning; the position decision is yours.
Personal research notes. Not investment advice. Sources cited per-essay.
Ajinomoto (AJNMY) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 11 ✅ · 4 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · H-0 78% · Prob 35/50/15 · Price $29.65
Costco Wholesale (COST) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 13 ✅ · 11 ⚠️ · 4 ✗ · 7 ⊗ · H-0 60% · Prob 18/52/30 · Price $1,014.53
Ford Motor Company (F) — Investment Tree v1 ⚑
Verdicts 6 ✅ · 9 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 6 ⊗ · H-0 60% · Prob 25/50/25 · Price $11.89
TOTO (TOTDY) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 9 ✅ · 6 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · H-0 65% · Prob 25/55/20 · Price $41.27
Alphabet (GOOGL) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 12 ✅ · 3 ⚠️ · H-0 88% · Prob 30/55/15 · Price $341.68
NVIDIA (NVDA) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 7 ✅ · 9 ⚠️ · 3 ✗ · 1 ⊗ · H-0 75% · Prob 25/50/25 · Price $209.25
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 4 ✅ · 9 ⚠️ · 2 ✗ · H-0 58% · Prob 35/45/20 · Price $128.06
Robinhood Markets (HOOD) — Investment Tree v1
Verdicts 7 ✅ · 5 ⚠️ · 0 ✗ · H-0 67% · Prob 30/55/15 · Price $91.28